Catar vs Australia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.8%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
43.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.2%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
CHN
0 - 1
QAT
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2008 |
QAT
0 - 0
CHN
40%
28%
33%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2008 |
QAT
2 - 1
LBN
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2008 |
QAT
1 - 1
KWT
53%
24%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
QAT
2 - 0
IRQ
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
IRQ
1 - 0
AUS
28%
29%
43%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
AUS
1 - 0
IRQ
60%
24%
17%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2008 |
AUS
1 - 0
GHA
58%
25%
17%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
CHN
0 - 0
AUS
38%
28%
34%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
SGP
0 - 0
AUS
18%
27%
55%
|
89 | 62 | 27 | 0 |