Catar vs Nicaragua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.1%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
11%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
3.9%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
QAT
2 - 2
CHI
35%
26%
39%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
QAT
0 - 2
CAN
52%
24%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
QAT
1 - 1
JAM
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
QAT
2 - 1
GHA
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
QAT
2 - 2
MAR
32%
27%
41%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Nicaragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
NIC
0 - 1
GHA
11%
23%
67%
|
53 | 80 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
SUR
2 - 1
NIC
41%
25%
34%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
NIC
4 - 0
BHS
67%
19%
14%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
BHS
0 - 2
NIC
15%
18%
67%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
VCT
2 - 2
NIC
20%
23%
57%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |