Catar vs Jamaica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
16%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
QAT
2 - 1
GHA
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
QAT
2 - 2
MAR
32%
27%
41%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
QAT
0 - 0
SVN
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
QAT
2 - 1
BGR
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
EGY
0 - 0
QAT
50%
24%
26%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Jamaica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
JAM
0 - 3
MAR
17%
25%
58%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
JAM
1 - 1
MEX
7%
20%
73%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
JAM
3 - 1
SUR
73%
18%
9%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
SUR
1 - 1
JAM
14%
21%
66%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2022 |
JAM
2 - 1
HND
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |