Catar vs Hong Kong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2001 |
PLE
1 - 2
QAT
13%
22%
65%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
QAT
5 - 1
MAS
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2001 |
THA
2 - 0
QAT
60%
20%
20%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2001 |
QAT
0 - 0
SWE
15%
25%
60%
|
76 | 94 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2001 |
THA
1 - 3
QAT
64%
19%
17%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2001 |
MAS
2 - 0
HKG
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
HKG
1 - 1
PLE
59%
22%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2001 |
JOR
2 - 0
HKG
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
HKG
1 - 2
EST
40%
25%
35%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2000 |
PER
1 - 1
HKG
83%
12%
5%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | +1 |