Catar vs China analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
23.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
TJK
0 - 1
QAT
15%
21%
64%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
QAT
3 - 0
LBN
78%
15%
7%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
QAT
1 - 2
JOR
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2023 |
QAT
3 - 0
KHM
89%
9%
2%
|
82 | 32 | 50 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
IND
0 - 3
QAT
11%
19%
70%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
LBN
0 - 0
CHN
15%
21%
63%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CHN
0 - 0
TJK
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2024 |
CHN
1 - 2
HKG
87%
11%
3%
|
80 | 45 | 35 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2023 |
CHN
0 - 2
OMA
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
CHN
0 - 3
KOR
23%
25%
53%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |