Portugal vs Yugoslavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1928 |
POR
4 - 2
CHI
73%
16%
12%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1928 |
FRA
1 - 1
POR
42%
23%
35%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1928 |
POR
4 - 1
ITA
51%
22%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1928 |
POR
0 - 0
ARG
45%
24%
32%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1928 |
POR
2 - 2
ESP
45%
24%
31%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1928 |
YUG
3 - 1
ROU
18%
22%
61%
|
17 | 72 | 55 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1928 |
AUT
3 - 0
YUG
89%
8%
4%
|
18 | 81 | 63 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1928 |
YUG
2 - 1
BGR
18%
22%
61%
|
16 | 67 | 51 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 1928 |
HUN
2 - 1
YUG
90%
7%
3%
|
16 | 78 | 62 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1927 |
CSK
5 - 3
YUG
88%
8%
4%
|
16 | 82 | 66 | 0 |