Portugal vs USSR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
17.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 1966 |
ENG
2 - 1
POR
87%
8%
4%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1966 |
POR
5 - 3
PRK
90%
7%
3%
|
80 | 10 | 70 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1966 |
POR
3 - 1
BRA
44%
23%
34%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1966 |
POR
3 - 0
BGR
69%
17%
14%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 1966 |
POR
3 - 1
HUN
39%
23%
39%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 1966 |
BRD
2 - 1
SUN
74%
15%
11%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1966 |
SUN
2 - 1
HUN
46%
22%
32%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1966 |
SUN
2 - 1
CHI
75%
14%
10%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 1966 |
SUN
1 - 0
ITA
56%
21%
23%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1966 |
SUN
3 - 0
PRK
90%
7%
3%
|
83 | 8 | 75 | 0 |