Portugal vs Turkey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
26.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1964 |
POR
2 - 1
ESP
30%
23%
47%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1964 |
BRA
4 - 1
POR
87%
9%
4%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1964 |
ENG
1 - 1
POR
90%
7%
3%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1964 |
ARG
2 - 0
POR
80%
13%
7%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1964 |
POR
3 - 4
ENG
20%
20%
60%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
TUR
0 - 0
BGR
53%
23%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1964 |
TUR
4 - 1
TUN
56%
20%
24%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
TUR
2 - 3
POL
51%
23%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1964 |
ITA
7 - 1
TUR
78%
14%
8%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1963 |
TUR
2 - 2
ITA
31%
25%
44%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |