Portugal vs Switzerland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
21.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1946 |
POR
3 - 1
IRL
56%
21%
24%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1946 |
POR
2 - 1
FRA
55%
20%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1945 |
SUI
1 - 0
POR
61%
19%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1945 |
ESP
4 - 2
POR
76%
14%
10%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1945 |
POR
2 - 2
ESP
40%
23%
37%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Switzerland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1946 |
SUI
1 - 0
AUT
38%
21%
41%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1946 |
CSK
3 - 2
SUI
74%
15%
12%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 1946 |
SWE
7 - 2
SUI
81%
11%
8%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1946 |
SCO
3 - 1
SUI
70%
17%
14%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1946 |
ENG
4 - 1
SUI
80%
12%
8%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |