Portugal vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
POR
1 - 0
FIN
79%
15%
6%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2008 |
BRA
6 - 2
POR
66%
20%
14%
|
96 | 99 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
POR
0 - 0
ALB
84%
12%
4%
|
96 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
SWE
0 - 0
POR
36%
27%
37%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
POR
2 - 3
DEN
59%
23%
19%
|
96 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
AUT
0 - 2
SWE
34%
27%
39%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
MEX
0 - 1
SWE
53%
24%
23%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
USA
3 - 2
SWE
53%
25%
22%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
NED
3 - 1
SWE
66%
21%
13%
|
93 | 98 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
SWE
0 - 0
POR
36%
27%
37%
|
93 | 96 | 3 | 0 |