Portugal vs Serbia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.7%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.7%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.9%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.5%
3.8%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
POR
2 - 2
POL
68%
19%
13%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
ARM
1 - 1
POR
11%
23%
67%
|
96 | 70 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2007 |
KWT
1 - 1
POR
13%
23%
63%
|
97 | 78 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2007 |
ALS
1 - 1
POR
6%
18%
76%
|
97 | 59 | 38 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
BEL
1 - 2
POR
28%
27%
45%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Serbia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
SRB
0 - 0
FIN
39%
30%
32%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
BEL
3 - 2
SRB
72%
19%
9%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2007 |
IDN
2 - 1
SRB
23%
26%
51%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
FIN
0 - 2
SRB
62%
22%
17%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
SRB
1 - 1
POR
11%
23%
66%
|
81 | 97 | 16 | +1 |