Portugal vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
26.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
CSK
0 - 1
POR
81%
12%
7%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1965 |
TUR
0 - 1
POR
48%
22%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1965 |
POR
5 - 1
TUR
53%
20%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1964 |
POR
2 - 1
ESP
30%
23%
47%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1964 |
BRA
4 - 1
POR
87%
9%
4%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1965 |
ROU
1 - 0
CSK
42%
24%
34%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1965 |
ROU
3 - 0
TUR
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1964 |
ROU
3 - 0
YUG
50%
22%
29%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1964 |
ROU
4 - 2
GHA
71%
16%
13%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
HUN
2 - 0
ROU
90%
7%
4%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | 0 |