Portugal vs South Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2002 |
POR
4 - 0
POL
69%
18%
13%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2002 |
USA
3 - 2
POR
20%
24%
56%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2002 |
CHN
0 - 2
POR
25%
25%
50%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
POR
1 - 1
BRA
30%
25%
46%
|
95 | 99 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2002 |
POR
1 - 4
FIN
80%
15%
5%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2002 |
KOR
1 - 1
USA
45%
25%
30%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2002 |
KOR
2 - 0
POL
40%
24%
36%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2002 |
KOR
2 - 3
FRA
20%
24%
56%
|
90 | 100 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2002 |
KOR
1 - 1
ENG
24%
26%
50%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2002 |
KOR
4 - 1
SCO
45%
27%
28%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | +1 |