Portugal vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
40.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1982 |
FIN
0 - 2
POR
20%
21%
59%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1982 |
BRA
3 - 1
POR
83%
13%
4%
|
84 | 95 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1982 |
SUI
2 - 1
POR
32%
25%
44%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1982 |
BRD
3 - 1
POR
85%
11%
4%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1982 |
GRC
1 - 2
POR
32%
25%
43%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1982 |
FIN
2 - 3
POL
20%
24%
56%
|
89 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1982 |
FRA
0 - 4
POL
45%
26%
28%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1982 |
POL
3 - 2
FRA
69%
17%
14%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1982 |
POL
0 - 2
ITA
61%
20%
19%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1982 |
POL
0 - 0
SUN
59%
21%
20%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |