Portugal vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
15.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
ROU
2 - 0
POR
61%
21%
19%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
POR
0 - 0
CSK
37%
24%
39%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1965 |
POR
0 - 0
BRA
24%
22%
54%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1965 |
POR
2 - 1
ROU
51%
22%
27%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
CSK
0 - 1
POR
81%
12%
7%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1965 |
YUG
1 - 1
NOR
82%
11%
7%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
SWE
0 - 0
NOR
82%
12%
7%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
NOR
2 - 2
DEN
44%
22%
34%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1965 |
NOR
0 - 1
FRA
48%
22%
30%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1965 |
FIN
4 - 0
NOR
38%
22%
40%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | -2 |