Portugal vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.8%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
14%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
5.4%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2010 |
POR
3 - 1
CMR
71%
19%
10%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2010 |
POR
0 - 0
CPV
82%
14%
5%
|
94 | 65 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
POR
2 - 0
CHN
76%
16%
7%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
BIH
0 - 1
POR
6%
15%
80%
|
95 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
POR
1 - 0
BIH
90%
8%
2%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
MOZ
0 - 1
BOT
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
NGA
3 - 0
MOZ
84%
12%
4%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
EGY
2 - 0
MOZ
91%
7%
2%
|
66 | 89 | 23 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2010 |
MOZ
2 - 2
BEN
48%
25%
28%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
GAB
2 - 0
MOZ
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |