Portugal vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.9%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.4%
4-0
12.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
+4
14.6%
3-0
16.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.6%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.1%
2%
Win probability
0.3
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1998 |
ENG
3 - 0
POR
66%
22%
12%
|
91 | 96 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1997 |
POR
1 - 0
NIR
65%
23%
12%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1997 |
GER
1 - 1
POR
77%
15%
9%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1997 |
POR
3 - 1
ARM
87%
10%
3%
|
91 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1997 |
POR
2 - 0
ALB
73%
19%
8%
|
91 | 65 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 1998 |
MOZ
1 - 1
ANG
32%
27%
42%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 1998 |
MWI
0 - 0
MOZ
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1998 |
MWI
2 - 2
MOZ
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1998 |
MWI
2 - 1
MOZ
52%
27%
22%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1998 |
MOZ
0 - 2
ZIM
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |