Portugal vs Moldova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.4%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.2%
+7
2.3%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
8.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.9%
4-0
14%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
16.1%
3-0
17.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.2%
+3
21.2%
2-0
17%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
15.1%
6.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
2.4%
2-2
0.4%
3-3
<0%
0
6.3%
1.2%
Win probability
0.23
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0%
-1
1.1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2001 |
POR
6 - 0
CYP
79%
16%
6%
|
95 | 72 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2001 |
IRL
1 - 1
POR
36%
28%
36%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2001 |
FRA
4 - 0
POR
70%
19%
11%
|
95 | 100 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2001 |
POR
2 - 2
NED
32%
26%
43%
|
95 | 98 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2001 |
POR
3 - 0
AND
93%
6%
1%
|
95 | 56 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Moldova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2001 |
SWE
6 - 0
MDA
91%
7%
2%
|
70 | 95 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2001 |
MKD
2 - 2
MDA
63%
20%
17%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2001 |
MDA
0 - 0
EST
60%
21%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2001 |
MDA
0 - 2
SWE
10%
22%
69%
|
71 | 94 | 23 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2001 |
AZE
0 - 0
MDA
31%
27%
42%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |