Portugal vs Morocco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1986 |
POL
1 - 0
POR
67%
19%
15%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1986 |
POR
1 - 0
ENG
38%
25%
36%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1986 |
POR
1 - 3
JOR
93%
5%
2%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1986 |
POR
1 - 3
DDR
38%
28%
33%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1986 |
POR
2 - 0
LUX
86%
10%
4%
|
85 | 37 | 48 | 0 |
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1986 |
ENG
0 - 0
MAR
85%
11%
5%
|
75 | 92 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1986 |
MAR
0 - 0
POL
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1986 |
NIR
2 - 1
MAR
70%
19%
12%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1986 |
CIV
3 - 2
MAR
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1986 |
EGY
1 - 0
MAR
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |