Portugal vs Malta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.5%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
4.8%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
POR
3 - 0
HUN
73%
18%
9%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
HUN
0 - 1
POR
22%
26%
52%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
DEN
1 - 1
POR
45%
26%
29%
|
96 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
LIE
0 - 3
POR
13%
23%
65%
|
96 | 24 | 72 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2009 |
EST
0 - 0
POR
12%
22%
66%
|
96 | 69 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Malta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
ANG
2 - 1
MLT
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
MLT
0 - 1
SWE
16%
24%
60%
|
54 | 93 | 39 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
MLT
0 - 2
CPV
38%
25%
37%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
MLT
2 - 0
GEO
18%
22%
60%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | +2 |
| 10 Jun. 2009 |
SWE
4 - 0
MLT
76%
17%
7%
|
53 | 93 | 40 | -1 |