Portugal vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.8%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
3.9%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1986 |
POR
1 - 1
FIN
79%
14%
8%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1985 |
BRD
0 - 1
POR
81%
13%
6%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1985 |
POR
3 - 2
MLT
92%
6%
2%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1985 |
CSK
1 - 0
POR
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1985 |
ITA
2 - 0
POR
68%
20%
12%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1985 |
FRA
6 - 0
LUX
89%
8%
3%
|
36 | 91 | 55 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1985 |
LUX
1 - 3
BGR
16%
24%
60%
|
36 | 82 | 46 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1985 |
DDR
3 - 1
LUX
88%
8%
4%
|
36 | 89 | 53 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1985 |
LUX
0 - 1
YUG
9%
17%
74%
|
37 | 88 | 51 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1985 |
LUX
0 - 0
ISL
41%
26%
33%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | +1 |