Portugal vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.2%
15%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
15%
14.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1960 |
YUG
5 - 1
POR
82%
11%
7%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1960 |
POR
2 - 1
YUG
36%
23%
41%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1960 |
GER
2 - 1
POR
80%
12%
8%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1959 |
FRA
5 - 3
POR
76%
14%
10%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 1959 |
POR
3 - 2
DDR
79%
12%
9%
|
71 | 20 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1960 |
LUX
0 - 9
ENG
27%
21%
52%
|
57 | 87 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1960 |
SUI
2 - 2
LUX
73%
14%
14%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
LUX
5 - 3
FRA
32%
23%
45%
|
54 | 83 | 29 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
LUX
0 - 0
SUI
53%
19%
28%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1959 |
FRA
1 - 0
LUX
79%
12%
10%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | 0 |