Portugal vs Liechtenstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.2%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
7.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
13.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
15.1%
3-0
17.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
21.1%
2-0
18.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
16.8%
7.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
0.5%
3-3
<0%
0
7.4%
1.4%
Win probability
0.22
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1999 |
POR
1 - 0
SVK
82%
13%
5%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1999 |
LIE
0 - 5
POR
7%
20%
73%
|
92 | 10 | 82 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1999 |
POR
7 - 0
AZE
89%
9%
2%
|
92 | 65 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1999 |
POR
0 - 0
NED
25%
26%
49%
|
92 | 96 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1998 |
POR
2 - 0
ISR
65%
22%
13%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Liechtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1999 |
AZE
4 - 0
LIE
77%
15%
9%
|
10 | 65 | 55 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1999 |
LIE
0 - 5
POR
7%
20%
73%
|
10 | 92 | 82 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1999 |
HUN
5 - 0
LIE
95%
4%
1%
|
10 | 87 | 77 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1998 |
LIE
2 - 1
AZE
27%
23%
50%
|
9 | 64 | 55 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1998 |
LIE
0 - 4
SVK
3%
15%
82%
|
9 | 82 | 73 | 0 |