Portugal vs Kazakhstan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.8%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.2%
+7
2.4%
6-0
4.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
5.3%
5-0
9.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
10.2%
4-0
14.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
16.4%
3-0
17.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.2%
+3
21.2%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
14.7%
6.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
2.3%
2-2
0.4%
3-3
<0%
0
6.1%
1.1%
Win probability
0.22
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0%
-1
1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2003 |
POR
4 - 0
BOL
78%
16%
6%
|
96 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2003 |
POR
0 - 0
PAR
67%
21%
13%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
NED
1 - 1
POR
62%
22%
16%
|
96 | 99 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
MKD
0 - 1
POR
9%
20%
72%
|
96 | 73 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
POR
2 - 1
BRA
29%
25%
46%
|
96 | 99 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Kazakhstan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2003 |
POL
3 - 0
KAZ
84%
12%
4%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2003 |
FRO
2 - 1
KAZ
31%
24%
45%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
FRO
3 - 2
KAZ
26%
24%
50%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
MLT
2 - 2
KAZ
22%
24%
55%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2002 |
KAZ
1 - 1
EST
62%
20%
18%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |