Portugal vs Israel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
12.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1998 |
SVK
0 - 3
POR
24%
27%
49%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1998 |
POR
0 - 1
ROU
46%
27%
27%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
HUN
1 - 3
POR
35%
29%
36%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 1998 |
POR
2 - 1
MOZ
90%
8%
2%
|
91 | 56 | 35 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1998 |
ENG
3 - 0
POR
66%
22%
12%
|
91 | 97 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1998 |
ISR
1 - 2
ESP
16%
24%
59%
|
83 | 96 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1998 |
SMR
0 - 5
ISR
9%
19%
72%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1998 |
AUT
1 - 1
ISR
68%
20%
13%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1998 |
POL
2 - 0
ISR
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1998 |
LVA
1 - 5
ISR
20%
24%
56%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |