Portugal vs Israel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
15.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1980 |
POR
1 - 0
NIR
62%
24%
14%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1980 |
SCO
0 - 0
POR
58%
24%
18%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1980 |
POR
1 - 1
USA
90%
7%
3%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1980 |
ITA
3 - 1
POR
74%
18%
8%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1980 |
SCO
4 - 1
POR
57%
25%
19%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1980 |
ISR
0 - 1
AUS
56%
23%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1980 |
ISR
0 - 0
SWE
40%
27%
32%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1980 |
SWE
1 - 1
ISR
63%
23%
14%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1980 |
ISR
0 - 0
NIR
60%
22%
19%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1979 |
ISR
4 - 1
GRC
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |