Portugal vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
39.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1983 |
POR
1 - 0
BRD
18%
25%
57%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1983 |
POR
0 - 3
FRA
40%
28%
33%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1982 |
POR
2 - 1
POL
33%
28%
40%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1982 |
FIN
0 - 2
POR
20%
21%
59%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1982 |
BRA
3 - 1
POR
83%
13%
4%
|
84 | 95 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1983 |
LUX
2 - 6
HUN
11%
19%
70%
|
89 | 39 | 50 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1982 |
FRA
1 - 0
HUN
42%
27%
31%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1982 |
HUN
5 - 0
TUR
86%
11%
3%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1982 |
BEL
1 - 1
HUN
51%
23%
26%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1982 |
ARG
4 - 1
HUN
63%
19%
18%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |