Portugal vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.5%
38.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 1966 |
POR
1 - 0
ROU
55%
22%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1966 |
POR
3 - 0
URU
45%
23%
32%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1966 |
DEN
1 - 3
POR
60%
20%
20%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 1966 |
SCO
0 - 1
POR
69%
18%
13%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 1966 |
POR
4 - 0
NOR
68%
17%
15%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1966 |
HUN
3 - 1
SUI
91%
7%
3%
|
91 | 67 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1966 |
YUG
2 - 0
HUN
35%
23%
42%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1966 |
POL
1 - 1
HUN
19%
22%
59%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1965 |
HUN
3 - 2
DDR
87%
9%
4%
|
91 | 66 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1965 |
HUN
3 - 0
AUT
85%
10%
6%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |