Portugal vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.1%
61.8%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1956 |
POR
3 - 1
ESP
44%
23%
34%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1956 |
POR
0 - 1
BRA
35%
22%
43%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1956 |
POR
3 - 1
TUR
46%
20%
34%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1955 |
EGY
0 - 4
POR
52%
20%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 1955 |
TUR
3 - 1
POR
58%
19%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1956 |
BEL
5 - 4
HUN
22%
19%
60%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1956 |
HUN
2 - 4
CSK
89%
7%
4%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1956 |
HUN
2 - 2
YUG
84%
10%
6%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1956 |
LBN
1 - 4
HUN
16%
17%
67%
|
91 | 55 | 36 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1956 |
TUR
3 - 1
HUN
19%
18%
63%
|
92 | 73 | 19 | -1 |