Portugal vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
46.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2004 |
POR
2 - 2
ENG
36%
25%
40%
|
96 | 98 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
ESP
0 - 1
POR
67%
19%
14%
|
96 | 99 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2004 |
RUS
0 - 2
POR
21%
23%
56%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
POR
1 - 2
GRC
78%
14%
8%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
POR
4 - 1
LTU
83%
13%
5%
|
96 | 70 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2004 |
SWE
0 - 0
NED
19%
21%
60%
|
97 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2004 |
NED
3 - 0
LVA
93%
6%
1%
|
97 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
NED
2 - 3
CZE
65%
20%
16%
|
98 | 94 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2004 |
GER
1 - 1
NED
31%
22%
47%
|
98 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
NED
0 - 1
IRL
68%
20%
12%
|
98 | 93 | 5 | 0 |