Portugal vs Ghana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
5.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2014 |
USA
2 - 2
POR
30%
24%
46%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2014 |
GER
4 - 0
POR
61%
20%
19%
|
93 | 95 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2014 |
IRL
1 - 5
POR
27%
26%
47%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
MEX
0 - 1
POR
38%
26%
36%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
POR
0 - 0
GRC
72%
18%
10%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ghana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
GER
2 - 2
GHA
90%
8%
2%
|
83 | 95 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2014 |
GHA
1 - 2
USA
21%
24%
56%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2014 |
GHA
4 - 0
KOR
32%
26%
42%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
NED
1 - 0
GHA
85%
12%
4%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
MNE
1 - 0
GHA
35%
26%
39%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |