Portugal vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1983 |
POR
0 - 4
BRA
18%
26%
56%
|
84 | 96 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1983 |
SUN
5 - 0
POR
75%
17%
8%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1983 |
POR
0 - 0
HUN
33%
27%
39%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1983 |
POR
1 - 0
BRD
18%
25%
57%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1983 |
POR
0 - 3
FRA
40%
28%
33%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1983 |
FIN
0 - 3
SWE
21%
23%
56%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1983 |
DEN
3 - 0
FIN
86%
9%
5%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1983 |
FIN
0 - 1
SUN
19%
26%
55%
|
59 | 92 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1983 |
FIN
0 - 1
DDR
23%
27%
51%
|
59 | 90 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1983 |
FIN
0 - 4
POL
21%
25%
54%
|
60 | 89 | 29 | -1 |