Portugal vs Estonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.6%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
10.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
15.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.9%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.5%
2.9%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1993 |
POR
1 - 0
SUI
49%
27%
24%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1993 |
EST
0 - 2
POR
20%
27%
54%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1993 |
POR
4 - 0
MLT
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1993 |
POR
5 - 0
SCO
42%
29%
28%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1993 |
SUI
1 - 1
POR
49%
28%
23%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1993 |
LIE
0 - 2
EST
27%
24%
50%
|
63 | 11 | 52 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1993 |
EST
0 - 3
ITA
7%
22%
71%
|
64 | 95 | 31 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1993 |
EST
0 - 2
POR
20%
27%
54%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1993 |
EST
2 - 1
LTU
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 1993 |
EST
0 - 2
LVA
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |