Portugal vs USA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.2%
Win probability
3.56
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.1%
5-0
7.7%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.7%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
6.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
6.9%
2.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1980 |
ITA
3 - 1
POR
74%
18%
8%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1980 |
SCO
4 - 1
POR
57%
25%
19%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1979 |
POR
1 - 2
AUT
48%
28%
25%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1979 |
POR
3 - 1
NOR
79%
14%
7%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1979 |
BEL
2 - 0
POR
49%
27%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1980 |
LUX
0 - 2
USA
42%
23%
35%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1979 |
IRL
3 - 2
USA
75%
15%
10%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1979 |
HUN
0 - 2
USA
94%
5%
1%
|
59 | 90 | 31 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 1979 |
FRA
3 - 0
USA
94%
5%
2%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
BMU
1 - 3
USA
45%
23%
33%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |