Portugal vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
35.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1950 |
ESP
5 - 1
POR
76%
14%
10%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1949 |
IRL
1 - 0
POR
49%
20%
31%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1949 |
POR
3 - 2
WAL
55%
19%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1949 |
POR
1 - 1
ESP
45%
22%
33%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1949 |
ITA
4 - 1
POR
84%
10%
6%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1950 |
ESP
5 - 1
POR
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1949 |
FRA
1 - 5
ESP
47%
22%
31%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 1949 |
IRL
1 - 4
ESP
42%
22%
36%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1949 |
ESP
1 - 3
ITA
48%
22%
30%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1949 |
POR
1 - 1
ESP
45%
22%
33%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |