Portugal vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
33.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1930 |
BEL
2 - 1
POR
58%
20%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1930 |
POR
2 - 0
FRA
66%
17%
17%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1930 |
POR
1 - 0
CSK
40%
24%
36%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1929 |
ITA
6 - 1
POR
67%
18%
15%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1929 |
FRA
2 - 0
POR
44%
23%
34%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1930 |
ITA
2 - 3
ESP
59%
20%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1930 |
CSK
2 - 0
ESP
61%
20%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1930 |
ESP
1 - 0
CSK
56%
21%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1929 |
ESP
4 - 3
ENG
49%
21%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1929 |
ESP
8 - 1
FRA
71%
16%
13%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |