Portugal vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
31.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1927 |
ITA
3 - 1
POR
60%
20%
20%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1927 |
POR
4 - 0
FRA
63%
18%
18%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1926 |
POR
3 - 3
HUN
44%
23%
34%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1926 |
FRA
4 - 2
POR
43%
24%
34%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 1925 |
POR
1 - 0
ITA
56%
21%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1927 |
ITA
2 - 0
ESP
49%
23%
28%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1927 |
FRA
1 - 4
ESP
36%
25%
39%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1927 |
ESP
1 - 0
SUI
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1926 |
ESP
4 - 2
HUN
55%
21%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1925 |
HUN
0 - 1
ESP
61%
20%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |