Portugal vs Slovenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.1%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.3%
4.7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
GEO
2 - 0
POR
8%
17%
75%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
TUR
0 - 3
POR
17%
21%
61%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2024 |
POR
2 - 1
CZE
75%
15%
10%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
POR
3 - 0
IRL
83%
12%
5%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
POR
1 - 2
CRO
63%
20%
17%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Slovenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
ENG
0 - 0
SVN
80%
14%
6%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
SVN
1 - 1
SRB
33%
26%
41%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
SVN
1 - 1
DEN
18%
22%
60%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
SVN
1 - 1
BGR
61%
23%
17%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2024 |
SVN
2 - 1
ARM
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |