Portugal vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
POR
2 - 1
CRO
60%
21%
19%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
POR
0 - 0
FRA
43%
24%
33%
|
93 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
POR
0 - 0
SVN
84%
11%
5%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
GEO
2 - 0
POR
8%
17%
75%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
TUR
0 - 3
POR
17%
21%
61%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
SCO
2 - 3
POL
31%
25%
44%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
SCO
0 - 1
HUN
36%
25%
39%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
SCO
1 - 1
SUI
26%
25%
50%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
GER
5 - 1
SCO
81%
12%
7%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
SCO
2 - 2
FIN
56%
24%
20%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |