Portugal vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
29.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1978 |
AUT
1 - 2
POR
60%
23%
17%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
POR
1 - 1
BEL
56%
26%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
POR
1 - 0
USA
91%
7%
3%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1978 |
FRA
2 - 0
POR
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1977 |
POR
4 - 0
CYP
86%
9%
4%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1978 |
SCO
3 - 2
NOR
84%
11%
5%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
AUT
3 - 2
SCO
50%
26%
25%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1978 |
SCO
3 - 2
NED
56%
22%
22%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1978 |
SCO
1 - 1
IRN
74%
15%
10%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1978 |
PER
3 - 1
SCO
45%
25%
30%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |