Portugal vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
31%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1971 |
BEL
3 - 0
POR
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1970 |
DEN
0 - 1
POR
45%
23%
32%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1970 |
POR
1 - 2
ITA
31%
27%
42%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1969 |
ENG
1 - 0
POR
85%
11%
5%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1969 |
SUI
1 - 1
POR
43%
24%
33%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1971 |
BEL
3 - 0
SCO
45%
24%
31%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1970 |
SCO
1 - 0
DEN
69%
18%
13%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1970 |
SCO
0 - 0
ENG
31%
25%
44%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1970 |
SCO
0 - 0
WAL
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1970 |
NIR
0 - 1
SCO
37%
24%
40%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |