Portugal vs Croatia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
19%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
POR
0 - 0
FRA
43%
24%
33%
|
93 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
POR
0 - 0
SVN
84%
11%
5%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
GEO
2 - 0
POR
8%
17%
75%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
TUR
0 - 3
POR
17%
21%
61%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2024 |
POR
2 - 1
CZE
75%
15%
10%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
CRO
1 - 1
ITA
38%
25%
37%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
CRO
2 - 2
ALB
81%
14%
5%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
ESP
3 - 0
CRO
67%
18%
15%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
POR
1 - 2
CRO
63%
20%
17%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
CRO
3 - 0
MKD
79%
15%
7%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |