Portugal vs Cyprus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2010 |
ESP
1 - 0
POR
71%
18%
11%
|
94 | 99 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2010 |
POR
0 - 0
BRA
18%
20%
63%
|
94 | 98 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2010 |
POR
7 - 0
PRK
91%
7%
1%
|
94 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2010 |
CIV
0 - 0
POR
12%
20%
68%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2010 |
POR
3 - 0
MOZ
81%
14%
5%
|
94 | 63 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Cyprus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
CYP
1 - 0
AND
86%
10%
5%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
CYP
0 - 0
ISL
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
ITA
3 - 2
CYP
76%
17%
7%
|
79 | 98 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
CYP
4 - 1
BGR
28%
26%
46%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
MNE
1 - 1
CYP
41%
23%
36%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |