Portugal vs Cyprus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.3%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.4%
4.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1977 |
POL
1 - 1
POR
66%
21%
14%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
DEN
2 - 4
POR
45%
27%
28%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1977 |
POR
1 - 0
SUI
74%
17%
10%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1976 |
POR
2 - 1
ITA
29%
28%
42%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
CYP
1 - 2
POR
18%
22%
60%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Cyprus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1977 |
CYP
1 - 3
POL
24%
24%
52%
|
57 | 87 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
CYP
1 - 2
BGR
27%
23%
50%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
CYP
1 - 2
POR
18%
22%
60%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
POL
5 - 0
CYP
93%
5%
2%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1976 |
DEN
5 - 0
CYP
75%
14%
11%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |