Portugal vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
13.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 1984 |
FRA
3 - 2
POR
61%
22%
16%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1984 |
POR
1 - 0
ROU
55%
26%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 1984 |
POR
1 - 1
ESP
44%
28%
28%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1984 |
POR
0 - 0
BRD
31%
25%
44%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1984 |
LUX
1 - 2
POR
11%
17%
72%
|
85 | 37 | 48 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1984 |
DEN
1 - 1
BGR
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1984 |
BGR
2 - 3
BRD
18%
24%
58%
|
80 | 94 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1983 |
YUG
3 - 2
BGR
78%
15%
7%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1983 |
BGR
1 - 0
WAL
52%
26%
22%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1983 |
CSK
1 - 2
BGR
78%
16%
7%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |