Portugal vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
56.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1983 |
SUN
5 - 0
POR
75%
17%
8%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1983 |
POR
0 - 0
HUN
33%
27%
39%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1983 |
POR
1 - 0
BRD
18%
25%
57%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1983 |
POR
0 - 3
FRA
40%
28%
33%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1982 |
POR
2 - 1
POL
33%
28%
40%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1983 |
BRA
3 - 2
CHI
87%
11%
3%
|
96 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1982 |
ITA
3 - 2
BRA
43%
25%
32%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1982 |
ARG
1 - 3
BRA
46%
24%
30%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1982 |
BRA
4 - 0
NZL
89%
8%
4%
|
96 | 65 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1982 |
BRA
4 - 1
SCO
83%
11%
6%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | +1 |