Portugal vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
33.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 1966 |
POR
3 - 0
BGR
69%
17%
14%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1966 |
POR
3 - 1
HUN
39%
23%
39%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 1966 |
POR
1 - 0
ROU
55%
22%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1966 |
POR
3 - 0
URU
45%
23%
32%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 1966 |
DEN
1 - 3
POR
60%
20%
20%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 1966 |
HUN
3 - 1
BRA
72%
15%
13%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1966 |
BRA
2 - 0
BGR
85%
10%
5%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1966 |
SWE
2 - 3
BRA
41%
24%
35%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 1966 |
SCO
1 - 1
BRA
32%
24%
44%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 1966 |
BRA
2 - 2
CSK
75%
15%
10%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |