Portugal vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
24.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1931 |
POR
0 - 2
ITA
42%
24%
34%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1930 |
POR
0 - 1
ESP
42%
24%
34%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1930 |
BEL
2 - 1
POR
58%
20%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1930 |
POR
2 - 0
FRA
66%
17%
17%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1930 |
POR
1 - 0
CSK
40%
24%
36%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1931 |
BEL
1 - 4
ENG
36%
22%
42%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1931 |
BEL
4 - 2
NED
50%
21%
29%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1931 |
NED
3 - 2
BEL
62%
19%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1930 |
FRA
2 - 2
BEL
44%
22%
34%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1930 |
BEL
2 - 2
SWE
37%
22%
41%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |