Portugal vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
22.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1994 |
LVA
1 - 3
POR
19%
27%
54%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1994 |
NIR
1 - 2
POR
37%
31%
32%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1994 |
NOR
0 - 0
POR
45%
29%
27%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1994 |
ESP
2 - 2
POR
67%
21%
12%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1993 |
ITA
1 - 0
POR
68%
22%
11%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1994 |
AUT
1 - 2
NIR
61%
24%
16%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1994 |
LIE
0 - 4
AUT
1%
10%
89%
|
86 | 11 | 75 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1994 |
AUT
0 - 3
RUS
73%
16%
11%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1994 |
AUT
1 - 5
GER
52%
23%
25%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1994 |
POL
3 - 4
AUT
54%
25%
22%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |