Portugal vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
38.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
POR
3 - 1
RSA
41%
20%
39%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
AUT
9 - 1
POR
81%
12%
8%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1952 |
POR
1 - 3
ARG
32%
23%
46%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1952 |
POR
1 - 1
AUT
37%
21%
41%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1952 |
FRA
3 - 0
POR
59%
18%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
AUT
2 - 3
HUN
43%
21%
36%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
AUT
9 - 1
POR
81%
12%
8%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
HUN
1 - 1
AUT
80%
11%
9%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1953 |
IRL
4 - 0
AUT
35%
22%
43%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
GER
0 - 0
AUT
69%
16%
16%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |